I’m reading a LOT about AI lately, and I’m learning that the world really is changing right under our feet. Most people are unaware, but big changes are coming. And I’m not sure if those changes will make our lives better or worse.
- Medical advice and diagnosis will be nearly 100% AI-driven. MDs and nurses better get used to patients armed with credible diagnoses and reams of information.
- Digital security / cybersecurity is in for a wild ride. AI-driven threats will make most current online security useless.
- Writing – generating content that people read – is in big trouble. LLMs can write almost anything at this point. There are tools that can detect AI-generated text, but many people cannot detect the same. And many people won’t care that their new favorite author is a bot.
- Within a year it will be foolish to believe ANYTHING you see or read online. Very convincing fictions, text, image, audio and video, will be used to generate a large percentage of everything online. It will look and seem real – 99% of people won’t be able to tell the difference.
- All professionals in data-intensive jobs – lawyers, accountants, engineers, data analysts – will get their jobs turned inside out. Radically changed. Maybe replaced, but definitely changed.
- Countries and companies that can afford to build frontier-level LLMs will have (already have?) a huge economic advantage over those who can’t. The US, China, maybe the EU, maybe the Saudis – will do fine. Everyone else…relegated to second or third world status.
- AI-generated content is already influencing US elections. Voters are influenced by media, and media is about to get overrun by AI content.
- The ability of frontier-level LLMs to act independently, to gather information and take real-world action based on conclusions from that information, grows every day. It’s already waaaay past what I would consider safe.
- Our collective ability to understand the implications of frontier-level AI is pathetic. We have no laws, no governance, no rules, that will help us keep the genie in the bottle. I’m reading and thinking about this a lot, and I can’t see where this all leads. We could be building Skynet right now. And this hard-to-understand change is happening when US leadership is at an all-time low.
What’s happening right now is both a shitshow and wildly fascinating. We may be building a wonderful new world, or we may be building a demon that will destroy us quickly. It’s really hard to know.




























